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Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.According to sources, Trump will meet with the widow of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Sunday.Morgan Stanley Xing Ziqiang: China can fully withstand the improvement of the central financial deficit ratio. On December 13th, Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley China, said at the "Caijing Annual Meeting 2025: Forecast and Strategy" and the 2024 Global Wealth Management Forum that the Central Economic Work Conference broke the previous mindset of fiscal prudence. It is predicted that the budget of deficit ratio will reach a higher level next year, and may even exceed the level of 2020 (above 3.6%). With China's relatively strong national balance sheet, it can fully withstand the relatively high deficit ratio of the central government. Most other countries in the world have abandoned the so-called deficit ratio constraint of around 3% after facing the downturn of the real estate market and other factors.

LinkedIn's server was abnormally disconnected from the network. Customer Service: The recovery time is uncertain for the time being. On December 13th, several LinkedIn owners reported that the user's APP car control was abnormal and could not connect to the network. Link Auto Customer Service said that this incident was caused by the abnormal fluctuation of the cloud server, which led to the abnormal use of some car control apps. Currently, it is being urgently processed, and the recovery time is uncertain. (On the news)The 2024 Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Promotion Conference was held. On December 12th, the 2024 Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Promotion Conference was held in Shenyang. More than 150 government and enterprise guests from more than 20 countries including South Korea, Germany and France and Hong Kong and Macao attended the conference, and conducted in-depth exchanges on topics such as ice and snow tourism, ice and snow sports and ice and snow equipment manufacturing. This promotion meeting is an important sub-activity of "Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation and Negotiation Activities". It is understood that the "Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Negotiation Activity" will last for three days, during which activities such as Liaoning Ice and Snow Economic Theme Exhibition, Liaoning-Europe and America Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Exchange Conference and Liaoning Ice and Snow Economic Industry Tour will be held, aiming at deepening the exchanges and cooperation between Liaoning Province and the world in the field of ice and snow economy, jointly exploring new opportunities for the development of global ice and snow industry and building a brand of winter economic and trade cooperation in Liaoning Province. (Liaoning Daily)Turkish President: It will crack down on organizations such as the PKK in Syria. The Information Bureau of the Turkish Presidential Office issued a statement on the early morning of the 13th, saying that Turkish President Erdogan said that Turkey would take "preventive measures" for national security and crack down on all "terrorist organizations" such as the PKK in Syria.

The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange closed down 0.1% at 23,020.48 points.The customer service said that the technical department was working hard to find out the reason. Today, many netizens reported that there was a problem with the Lingke App, such as "the network was disconnected", "the App was out of position" and "the App should be repaired quickly". Many netizens left a message under the official website of Lingke Auto. Linke customer service said that at present, the technical department is working hard to investigate the reasons, and it is recommended that you use the remote control key or NFC key to drive the vehicle in the near future. Some netizens ridiculed that it was not a broken pole, and it was broken into a collar. Recently, Geely's shareholding has experienced a business crisis, and Link is also a brand of Geely. (Sina Technology)CICC: Depleting inventories to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. In terms of real estate, the meeting will "continue to push the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" as the primary task of risk prevention. The research department of CICC believes that destocking to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. First, control the supply of new land; second, optimize the supply structure of existing land and commercial housing; it is expected that the supply optimization policies such as land ticket, land exchange and commercial housing reform will be further promoted; third, dispose of existing commercial housing; it is expected that the efforts to store unsold commercial housing and existing second-hand housing for affordable housing will be increased; fourth, intensify the implementation of the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated houses.